Earnings Estimates for 2023 Impressively Rose Last Week With just over half of S&P 500 companies having reported results, the consensus estimate for S&P 500 year-over-year earnings growth in the first quarter is -3.7%, up more than 2 percentage points from the prior week. While an earnings recession is likely, with a second straight [...]
Investors often talk about how earnings drive stock prices. But that begs the question how so many strategists and pundits expect earnings to fall in 2023 and stocks to rise? That’s our view in LPL Research. Let’s look at the histories of earnings growth and price performance for the S&P 500 Index on a [...]
In the last several weeks, we have continued to face elevated uncertainty in financial markets due to high inflation and rising interest rates, and we thought it was an important time to take stock with the final quarter of 2022 just ahead. It has been a difficult year, not only for investors but also [...]
Like most financial markets, preferred securities have generated negative returns so far this year, however the value proposition remains. Preferreds offer generous yields, both absolute and after-tax, with their high income stream serving as a total return buffer against future spread volatility. “Preferred securities can be higher yielding alternatives to traditional core fixed income [...]
Earnings Season Ends With a Whimper - Where will stock market go from here? Mixed results from mostly retailers, pushed S&P 500 earnings growth down from 6.4% to 6.3% last week, though that growth rate is still 2.2 percentage points above the June 30 estimate. Energy, healthcare, and utilities have produced the biggest upside [...]
Investors cheered the two better-than-expected inflation reports last week, pushing the S&P 500 to 16% above its June 16 low and only 11% below its all-time high. After this rebound, the key question investors are asking is whether this is a bear market rally that will soon fizzle or the start of a new [...]
“MORE THAN MOST YEARS, it’s hard to look ahead to the next year, to 2021, without looking back at 2020. A global pandemic, a massive economic collapse, a bear market, a surprisingly sharp reversal, a hotly contested election where passions ran high, the impact of lockdowns—it was an unusual year of extraordinary challenges. In [...]
US and International Equities The S&P 500 Index gave back some gains in September after a strong five-month run, with most sectors finishing in the red. The utilities and materials sectors were the exceptions, both gaining for the month. The sectors with the largest pullbacks this past month were energy, communication services, information technology, and [...]
One of the most historic market crashes ever took place 10 years ago today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index plunging more than 1,000 points, or 9%, within minutes, only to regain most of the losses by the end of the day. And thus, the flash crash was born. Originally, a fat finger trade [...]
One of the best known investment axioms is to “sell in May and go away.” This is largely because these six months have historically been some of the worst six months of the year. As you can see below, the next six months have tended to be on the weak side. The next six months [...]
