Economy

Time In The Market Versus Timing The Market

2020-03-24T14:12:21-07:00

The incredible volatility continues, with the S&P 500 Index now in one of its worst bear markets ever, along the way making the quickest move from an all-time high to down 30% at only 22 days. What is a long-term investor to do? “Although market timing is very alluring to investors, especially after the past [...]

Time In The Market Versus Timing The Market2020-03-24T14:12:21-07:00

Road to Recovery Playbook Factor #1: Peak COVID-19 Cases

2020-03-24T14:02:07-07:00

As COVID-19-related fear continues grip global financial markets, we wanted to take a closer look at factor #1 in our Road to Recovery Playbook: confidence in the timing of a peak of new COVID-19 cases in the United States. This is probably the most difficult signal in the playbook to call with any degree of [...]

Road to Recovery Playbook Factor #1: Peak COVID-19 Cases2020-03-24T14:02:07-07:00

Fiscal Stimulus Bazooka Is Imminent

2020-03-23T15:41:12-07:00

Policy makers in Washington, DC, worked over the weekend to try to put the finishing touches on a significant stimulus package to help cushion the economic and financial blow being delivered by the COVID-19 pandemic.  The Federal Reserve (Fed) is “all in” already. After Monday’s announcement, which we will discuss in another post , it is fair [...]

Fiscal Stimulus Bazooka Is Imminent2020-03-23T15:41:12-07:00

Stocks Approach 2009 Valuations vs. Bonds

2020-03-19T21:25:50-07:00

We rolled out our Road to Recovery playbook at the start of the week to help investors gauge where the market is in its bottoming process. The first and most important piece of that playbook—visibility into a peak in new COVID-19 cases—remains elusive, but we hope to have a clearer picture with the next couple of [...]

Stocks Approach 2009 Valuations vs. Bonds2020-03-19T21:25:50-07:00

How Bad is it and What Do We Do From Here?

2020-03-20T11:19:22-07:00

Our everyday lives have changed dramatically over the last few weeks as we work together to minimize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We know these efforts are necessary, but they also have come at a cost. Global economic growth has been slowing, the US economy likely will contract temporarily, and US stocks have entered [...]

How Bad is it and What Do We Do From Here?2020-03-20T11:19:22-07:00

Market Update: Managing Volatility & Looking for Some Green Shoots

2020-03-18T21:14:03-07:00

An open letter to my valued clients and friends. (Originally sent to my Friday newsletter subscribers. Subscribe here) Fears over the spread of COVID-19 (coronavirus) have gripped the country and sent stocks in the US and around the world into bear markets. Thursday’s nearly 10% decline in the S&P 500 Index was one [...]

Market Update: Managing Volatility & Looking for Some Green Shoots2020-03-18T21:14:03-07:00

2020 Market Outlook – Bringing the Markets into Focus

2019-12-16T23:53:04-08:00

“At LPL Research, as we look forward to the year 2020 and a new decade, some key trends and market signals will be important to watch, including progress on U.S.-China trade discussions, an encouraging outlook from corporate America, and continued strength in consumer spending. Trade risk, slower global growth, and the impeachment inquiry have garnered [...]

2020 Market Outlook – Bringing the Markets into Focus2019-12-16T23:53:04-08:00

2018 Market Outlook: Return of the Business Cycle

2018-01-22T18:26:53-08:00

Over the past 8 years, extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy has served as the primary catalyst for spurring continued economic growth in the U.S. and around the globe. Although the economic expansion has delivered steady gross domestic product (GDP) growth, consistent returns for the broad stock market, and an improving job market, the expansion itself has been lackluster. While we’re still set in [...]

2018 Market Outlook: Return of the Business Cycle2018-01-22T18:26:53-08:00

Investment Implications of the New Tax Law

2018-01-08T18:22:37-08:00

After more than a year of political posturing and investor anticipation, Congress finally approved a $1.5 trillion tax cut, the most sweeping U.S. fiscal overhaul since 1986.   The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was signed into law by President Trump last Friday, December 22, meeting his pledge to deliver tax reform [...]

Investment Implications of the New Tax Law2018-01-08T18:22:37-08:00
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