Investors often talk about how earnings drive stock prices. But that begs the question how so many strategists and pundits expect earnings to fall in 2023 and stocks to rise? That’s our view in LPL Research. Let’s look at the histories of earnings growth and price performance for the S&P 500 Index on a [...]
Do we have a Santa Claus rally in the making? The midterms produced mixed government, which we see as supportive to stocks due to political gridlock reducing the policy uncertainty that can weigh on market sentiment. We are also moving into a stage of the presidential cycle that has been historically supportive. Year three [...]
In the last several weeks, we have continued to face elevated uncertainty in financial markets due to high inflation and rising interest rates, and we thought it was an important time to take stock with the final quarter of 2022 just ahead. It has been a difficult year, not only for investors but also [...]
Like most financial markets, preferred securities have generated negative returns so far this year, however the value proposition remains. Preferreds offer generous yields, both absolute and after-tax, with their high income stream serving as a total return buffer against future spread volatility. “Preferred securities can be higher yielding alternatives to traditional core fixed income [...]
Investors cheered the two better-than-expected inflation reports last week, pushing the S&P 500 to 16% above its June 16 low and only 11% below its all-time high. After this rebound, the key question investors are asking is whether this is a bear market rally that will soon fizzle or the start of a new [...]
Passing the Baton LPL Research Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton is designed to help you navigate the risks and opportunities over the rest of 2021 and beyond. While the economy continues to move forward, we’re still feeling some aftershocks of COVID-19 and the Delta variant. At the same time, 2021 also saw a resurgence [...]
“In the short term, the market is a popularity contest. In the long term, the market is a weighing machine.” -Warren Buffett What happened with Game Stop? The incredible action from some of the most heavily shorted names has investors everywhere wondering what it all means? GameStop (GME) specifically has taken the country’s imagination by [...]
As 2020 winds down, it has been an extremely tough year on all of us. Still, there are many reasons to be thankful and today we will share some reasons investors should be thankful. Stocks have had one of the largest reversals ever in 2020, something to be thankful for. In fact, this could be [...]
Now that we have your attention with that eye-grabbing title, there’s definitely something to the idea that stocks perform better the year after a sitting president wins reelection. “Think about it—usually when a president wins reelection, it means the economy is going pretty strong, so stocks tend to do well,” explained LPL Financial Chief Market [...]
We continue to follow high-frequency data to assess whether the US recovery remains on track or if it has been derailed by COVID-19 outbreaks in parts of the country. Here we look at 5 charts that illustrate that the economic recovery remains on track and help explain why stocks continue to do so well despite [...]
