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Leading Indicators Turn Positive

2020-06-22T09:10:41-07:00

Yesterday, The Conference Board released last month’s reading for its Leading Economic Index (LEI), a composite of leading data series, which showed a month-over-month increase of 2.8%. As seen in the LPL Chart of the Day, the return to positive territory follows three straight months of negative monthly growth. ”We noted that the pace of [...]

Leading Indicators Turn Positive2020-06-22T09:10:41-07:00

Retail Sales Beat Shows Consumers Coming Back Strong

2020-06-18T07:44:46-07:00

COVID-19 has decimated global demand as lockdowns materially re-shaped consumer and business behavior. Even as states have begun to re-open, significant questions remain about how demand could recover. The May retail sales print provided one of the first glimpses of that answer, rising 17.7% month over month and marking the largest monthly gain since data [...]

Retail Sales Beat Shows Consumers Coming Back Strong2020-06-18T07:44:46-07:00

Next Rate Hike We See May Be 2023

2020-06-15T07:48:46-07:00

The Federal Reserve (Fed) completed its third scheduled policy meeting of the year Wednesday, June 10, and continued to signal strong support for the economy, committing to keeping rates near zero until it is confident of a recovery and maintaining bond purchases (“quantitative easing”), at least at the current level. “Despite some early signs [...]

Next Rate Hike We See May Be 20232020-06-15T07:48:46-07:00

Bond Markets Not Yet Believers

2020-06-15T07:49:29-07:00

The S&P 500 Index has rallied mightily off of its March 23 low, climbing almost 40% through the close of the market yesterday, as market participants look ahead to the economy continuing to gradually reopen. While there are signs that bond market participants’ overall assessment of the economy is slowly edging toward a similar [...]

Bond Markets Not Yet Believers2020-06-15T07:49:29-07:00

Are You Confused Yet? Stock Market Keeps Rising

2020-06-02T07:57:12-07:00

The stock market keeps going higher, yet the economic data remains some of the worst we’ve ever seen. This incredible disconnect has a lot of investors quite confused as to what is really happening. “Although this record rally has many scratching their heads, we need to remember the stock market is likely looking ahead [...]

Are You Confused Yet? Stock Market Keeps Rising2020-06-02T07:57:12-07:00

Beige Books Shows Suppressed Sentiment

2020-05-28T10:56:26-07:00

Despite the gradual reopening of the economy in several states, sentiment on Main Street remains suppressed, as the effects of COVID-19 appear to be keeping a lid on American optimism in the most recent Federal Reserve (Fed) Beige Book. In the Beige Book, the Fed presents qualitative observations made by community bankers and business owners—or [...]

Beige Books Shows Suppressed Sentiment2020-05-28T10:56:26-07:00

Strength of Small Business Owners

2020-05-18T09:47:12-07:00

As the economic data continues to pile in, much of it is showing some of the largest drops ever. Not surprisingly, small businesses are also suffering, as the NFIB Small Business Survey for April dropped significantly for the second consecutive month, but there were some silver linings. For starters, it wasn’t anywhere near as low [...]

Strength of Small Business Owners2020-05-18T09:47:12-07:00

Why Gold Will Continue To Shine

2020-05-13T09:50:14-07:00

Gold has done quite well so far in 2020, up more than 12% year to date versus the S&P 500 Index which is down about 10%. We started to warm to the yellow metal late last year and continue to think it can serve as a potential hedge in a well-diversified portfolio for suitable investors. [...]

Why Gold Will Continue To Shine2020-05-13T09:50:14-07:00

Challenges Abound in the US Service Sector

2020-05-07T15:13:39-07:00

Recent economic data confirms that the US economy has entered a recession, led by the consumer, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy based on gross domestic product (GDP). The consumer spending collapse was evident from March’s personal consumption expenditures data released last Wednesday, which showed a record 7.5% month-over-month drop in consumer [...]

Challenges Abound in the US Service Sector2020-05-07T15:13:39-07:00

Remembering the Flash Crash

2020-05-06T11:06:01-07:00

One of the most historic market crashes ever took place 10 years ago today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index plunging more than 1,000 points, or 9%, within minutes, only to regain most of the losses by the end of the day. And thus, the flash crash was born. Originally, a fat finger trade [...]

Remembering the Flash Crash2020-05-06T11:06:01-07:00

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